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crypto vs central banks, Featured

2024-12-13 10:30:26 <font lang="Y9AM3"> <style draggable="yVih"></style> </font>

Market information: Trump's nominee for US Treasury Secretary Bessent supports Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to complete his entire term.Since the beginning of this year, six small and medium-sized banks have "refused to redeem" tier-2 capital bonds. On December 9, Yingkou Bank Co., Ltd. announced that when the 10-year tier-2 capital bonds issued by the bank in 2019 had expired, the bank chose not to redeem the bonds. In fact, a number of commercial banks have announced this year that they will not exercise the right to redeem secondary capital bonds, mainly small and medium-sized banks. The insiders believe that there are two main reasons why banks choose not to redeem secondary capital bonds. First, it is difficult for banks to refinance and issue capital replenishment tools due to factors such as high cost of new bonds and declining profitability. Second, the bank's capital adequacy ratio has been at a low level, and some banks' capital adequacy ratio has been lower than the regulatory requirements before redemption, and the capital level may further decline after exercising the redemption right. (Securities Daily)Market information: The murder suspect of CEO of United Health Insurance Business opposes extradition to new york to face charges.


Chicago corn futures rose more than 1.5%, and the monthly report of USDA made the agricultural products market violently fluctuate. On Tuesday (December 10th) in late new york, CBOT corn futures rose 1.53% to 4.48-1/2 USD/bushel. After USDA released its inventory forecast report at 01:00 Beijing time, it broke the sideways consolidation state around 4.42 USD earlier in the day and accelerated. CBOT wheat futures rose 0.76% to $5.61/bushel. After the release of USDA monthly report, it fell below $5.56, then rebounded and refreshed above $5.63. CBOT soybean futures rose 0.53% to $ 9.95-1/4/bushel, and the USDA monthly report fell back to a level close to $9.90, then rebounded and approached the daily high of $10 refreshed at 23:41. Soybean meal futures rose by 0.97% and soybean oil futures fell by 0.21%.The yield of 10-year treasury bonds hit a new low, and the industry has been optimistic about the bond market for a long time. Recently, the bond market has continued to stage a strong market, with the yield of 10-year and 30-year treasury bonds hitting record lows and the futures price of treasury bonds hitting record highs. As the tone of monetary policy shifts from "steady" to "moderately loose", the market expects to lower the RRR and cut interest rates. Many insiders believe that the strong bond market pattern is expected to continue until 2025. Under the background of further opening of interest rate downside, long-term bonds have become the focus of investors' layout. (SSE)Wall Street consultants expect the deal-making business to heat up in the Trump era. Wall Street M&A consultants said that the expected regulatory relaxation will promote M&A activities and initial public offerings in the coming year, and companies are regaining the transaction manual. Christina Minnis, head of global credit financing and global acquisitions at Goldman Sachs, said that given Donald Trump's policy commitments during the presidential campaign, "I think the outside world may think that M&A activities in the United States may be slightly strengthened."


The quarterly rate of manufacturing activity in New Zealand in the third quarter was -1.2%, and the previous value was 0.60%.CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.The Prime Minister of Qatar and the US Secretary of State discussed the situation in Syria and the conflict in Gaza by telephone. On December 10th, local time, the Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of Qatar talked with the US Secretary of State Blinken by telephone, focusing on the situation in Syria and the conflict in Gaza and other regional issues. The two sides stated that it is necessary to promote an inclusive political process and achieve a peaceful transfer of power in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 2254. All parties in Syria should also strengthen efforts to protect civilians and fight terrorism. The two sides also exchanged views on the latest situation in the Gaza Strip and the progress of relevant negotiations.

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